AMMAN – On Wednesday, a
four-day ceasefire between Hamas and Israel was announced. At 7am local time on
Friday, the temporary ceasefire took effect. The agreement involves releasing
civilian women and children by the Gaza Strip's resistance in exchange for
Palestinian women and children detained in Israeli prisons. It also includes a
temporary cessation of hostilities and the entry of humanitarian aid.
Jordan
News interviewed political experts to discuss the agreement both
politically and militarily.
اضافة اعلان
Jordanian diplomat and
politician Marwan Muasher told
Jordan News that the ceasefire, which
started on Friday at 7am and will continue for four days, will rearrange
matters. He mentioned that it is crucial for delivering aid to Palestinians,
including medicines, food, and fuel. It will also contribute to the release of
a number of Palestinian prisoners.
However, he emphasized
that this ceasefire is only temporary, and the goal should be to invest these
days to ensure the continuation and transformation of the ceasefire into a
permanent cessation of hostilities. He pointed out that Israel has been stubborn
about a ceasefire, reflecting its unwillingness to end the war in the near
future. He added that the ceasefire might help change the rules of engagement,
especially with increasing international pressure to convince Israel to stop
the war.
However, the ultimate
goal should be a genuine effort to achieve a permanent ceasefire.
Former deputy Jamil
Al-Nimri told
Jordan News “The Israeli side is the one that lost in this
battle, facing the resistance's steadfastness. In addition, with international
pressure, there will be pressure to extend the ceasefire."
Nimri believes that the
ceasefire was initiated to allow aid to Palestinians, contribute to
strengthening the presence of the resistance and fighters, facilitate prisoner
exchanges, and serve as an initial victory for the resistance.
The ceasefire is a
political victory
On the other hand,
political analyst Mohammad Al-Zawahreh stated that the ceasefire is a political
victory for the Hamas movement, which managed to withstand and confront the
Israeli onslaught that has been relentless for the past 49 days.
"It is clear that
the ground war had two objectives: first, to free hostages, and second, to
eliminate Hamas. However, after 49 days, the occupation found itself in a
predicament, having achieved nothing. All the killing of civilians, the
destruction of infrastructure, and the loss of international sympathy resulted
in a setback. Now, the occupiers are attempting negotiations for hostages to
gain public support, as these hostages are soldiers affiliated with the Israeli
Occupation Forces,” he added.
A ‘fragile truce’
Furthermore, a military
expert specializing in Israeli strategy, Dhifallah Al-Daboubi, added to
Jordan
News, “The truce that was signed by the resistance and Israel is a fragile
truce that will not rise to the level of literal implementation. The Qatari
Foreign Minister spoke in general terms, and this truce is about a ceasefire,
the entry of aid, and the release of prisoners.”
Even if it is signed,
Israel may violate
He added “On the other
hand, I consider that the truce is not binding on any party, even if it is
signed because whoever sponsors the truce cannot force Israel to abide by its
terms. We know that Israel usually violates truces. For example, it violated the
truce with Jordan in 1967, as well as several times with Lebanon, despite the
presence of international emergency forces, we do not fear that Israel will
create an incident this time that links it to the resistance, after receiving
its prisoners, it will violate this truce.”
He also mentioned that the resistance is in a
very strong position, as it has inflicted many losses on Israel, this truce
came in order to bring in aid, considering this truce is a rest for a warrior,
and military operations will continue immediately after the truce ends.
There may be multiple
truces to follow
Politician Mamdouh
Al-Abadi told
Jordan News the temporary ceasefire is seen as a success.
He added that he believes there will be multiple truces after this one expires,
and that the Israeli Occupation Forces inside Gaza will disappear.
The ceasefire marks a new
phase in the conflict
Meanwhile, Bader Madi, a
political sociology professor at a German university, told
Jordan News that this ceasefire marks a new phase in the conflict, signifying a new
political and reconciliatory approach between the resistance movements.
According to Madi, this ceasefire is achieving common interests between the two
parties.
Madi considered there is
a lot of external pressure on Israel and the United States as well as other
countries that previously advocated for human rights, but are now being tested
in this war. He said these factors have pressured Israel into accepting the
ceasefire.
It may extend beyond four
days
Madi affirmed it is
possible that the ceasefire will extend beyond four days, and similar
ceasefires may be repeated. The success of Qatar in this ceasefire will likely
ease the attack it has been facing, as it shelters elements from Hamas. Qatar's
presence has created a degree of balance between the two parties, demonstrating
that Qatar's role was crucial, especially in this deal.
Military and strategic
expert Ayman Al-Rusan told
Jordan News, "As we have witnessed,
Israel often violates its agreements and delays in the prisoner release deals.
The ceasefire has constituted a diplomatic breach achieved by the resistance
against Israel. It breaks the enemy's prohibitions, as Israel consistently
declared, through its successive governments, a refusal to negotiate, exchange
prisoners, or cease hostilities. Today, Israel agrees to the ceasefire,
contradicting its narrative of achieving victory in the ground operation and
controlling the Gaza Strip."
Rusan further expressed
concerns about the ceasefire, fearing that it would allow journalists to enter
areas they hadn't accessed before, documenting Israeli destruction of the
region and the killing of civilians. This, in turn, could turn global opinion
against them.
Israel has failed to
weaken the resistance
He emphasized that the
Israeli side has failed to weaken the resistance or force the supportive
environment to abandon its support, considering the ceasefire as a tactical
move and not a complete cessation of war. He pointed out that accepting the
ceasefire is an implicit acknowledgment by Israel of the resistance's terms.
.jpg)
.jpg)
