NEW YORK, United States— Boeing said Tuesday that the
commercial aviation market should fully recover by 2024 from its pandemic
slump, as the industry giant lifted its aerospace forecast for the next decade.
اضافة اعلان
Boeing projected a $9 trillion aerospace market over the
next decade, up from the $8.5 trillion outlook a year ago, according to its
annual market outlook report.
"As our industry recovers and continues to adapt to
meet new global needs, we remain confident in long-term growth for
aerospace," said
Boeing Chief Strategy Officer Marc Allen.
"We are encouraged by the fact that scientists have
delivered vaccines more rapidly than imaginable and that passengers are
demonstrating strong confidence in airplane travel."
Compared with last fall's projection, Boeing now sees
increased orders for commercial planes and aviation services over the next
decade, and the same level of demand for defense and space as previously
forecast.
"We've lost about two years of growth," Darren
Hulst, vice president for commercial marketing at Boeing, said in a media briefing.
"However, we see a recovery to pre-virus levels by the end of 2023 or
early 2024."
Looking further out, Boeing said the 20-year growth outlook
"remains intact," with passenger travel averaging four percent annual
growth, above the 2.7 percent in global economic growth expected over this
period.
Thus far, domestic travel has recovered much more quickly
than international travel, reflecting a discrepancy in travel restrictions.
About 84 percent of domestic travel
returned to 2019 levels
in July, compared with only about one-fourth of international travel, according
to a Boeing presentation.
Boeing expects demand for 32,500 new single-aisle planes
through 2040, about the same level as the pre-pandemic forecast. The company
projected 7,500 new widebody jets over the period, down eight percent from the
2019 outlook.
One of the hottest areas of growth centers on planes that
carry freight, including converted planes. Boeing projected the 2040 fleet of
global freighters would rise 70 percent from the pre-pandemic level, reflecting
soaring demand connected to e-commerce.
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