Expert, strategist and economic analyst engineer Mohannad Abbas Haddadin said that the fluctuations in the global markets of stocks, bonds, paper and digital currencies, crypto, gold and oil have witnessed during this week changes and fluctuations between an increase in record prices in some and others declined to make profits after the smooth victory of Trump in the US elections, the Euro has witnessed a decline against the dollar since one year, global sovereign funds have rushed to buy cryptocurrencies, while Gold is losing some of its gains through profit-taking and calm in US after the announcement of the election results, the Middle East Movement and statements to enter into agreements to stop the war in southern Lebanon and Gaza .
اضافة اعلان
The analysis of the US economy for the coming period with the arrival of Trump two months from now is that there are fears of a return to inflation and clashes between the new presidency and the US Federal, because Trump will support the economy by reducing taxes on companies and producing more oil, and this will stimulate US industries to produce more products and expand production lines and increase exports at more competitive prices than before due to lower operating costs from taxes and energy, but Trump's policy of imposing tariffs on Chinese imports may reach 60% and imports from Europe and the rest of the world by up to 10%, may be treated similarly for US exports, which may bring back US exports to the first quarter (the taxes imposed on US exports may equal or exceed the sum of both Trump's corporate tax cuts as well as cheap oil prices from the increase in US oil production), and we also do not forget that US imports will be expensive due to the addition of customs duties on them, and therefore inflation will take control again in 2025 with a record indebtedness beginning next year to reach 36 trillion dollars and we may not witness a reduction in interest, and the protectionist measures followed by Trump will enter the US economy into an stagflation that does not serve the US economy.
Therefore, the next US economic team should be careful in its decisions and link the variables and their effects to each other within the logrithm to provide positive results, especially since oil demand indicators will decrease next year .
Any development in any global focus from the war in Ukraine, Gaza, south Lebanon, Iran, Taiwan and the Baltic may affect Trump's economic plans, and he is declining in his economic performance worse than his predecessor Biden.
It is imperative to stop these wars and conflicts to make any economic plans succeed, and to put the US interest ahead of the interest of its Israeli and Ukrainian allies, who are pushing more geopolitical risks and depletion in the US budgets for the coming years .
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