By choice or necessity, people have fallen for fancier
smartphones, televisions, laptops and cars. The companies that make this stuff
are trying to assess whether the shift to luxury is a temporary phenomenon or a
new normal.
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Some relevant stats from 2021:
— More than one of every four smartphones sold globally last
year were higher-priced devices, the largest ever share for those top-tier
phones, according to Counterpoint Research.
— Total U.S. sales of laptop computers cooled off after the
bonkers sales in 2020, when Americans stocked up on gear for remote school and
work. But sales of laptops that cost at least $1,000 increased 15% in a year,
the research firm NPD Group told me.
— Sales of TVs also fell last year from a pandemic-fueled craze
in 2020, but NPD said that sales of $1,000-and-up televisions climbed 47%.
— Americans are buying more larger, higher-priced vehicles and
fewer economy cars, helping to raise the average cost of new vehicles to
records nearly every month.
You might be thinking: INFLATION. Yes — but other factors are
also shaping this shift toward the high end. I’ll run through some explanations
for a trend that surprised me, and what this might mean for us.
The bottom line: It’s too soon to know for sure, but it appears
that pandemic-related changes have altered the reality for goods like
electronics and cars. People who don’t want, or can’t afford, higher-end stuff
may be out of luck.
OK, let’s dig into the whys, based on my conversations with
experts. First, the pandemic caused huge, ongoing disruptions that resulted in
shortages of important parts like computer chips and made shipping electronics
from Asian factories more expensive. Some companies that couldn’t easily make
all their usual products focused instead on their more expensive, more
profitable models.
“It costs the same to ship a $300 notebook computer as a $1,300
notebook computer,” said Stephen Baker, a longtime consumer electronics analyst
with the NPD Group. A relatively higher supply of pricier products is one
reason it has sometimes been easier to find an expensive laptop, smartphone or
car than a lower-cost model.
Baker and Maurice Klaehne, a Counterpoint research analyst, also
told me that some people have relied more on their home electronics during the
pandemic and have been willing to pay a bit more for them than they might have
a couple of years ago. Many Americans have also had more money to spend on
stuff, because of government benefits during the pandemic or lower spending on
things like travel and eating out.
And particularly in the U.S., phone companies have dangled
discounts or generous trade-ins for people to buy new smartphones that connect
to 5G networks, and those devices typically cost more, Klaehne said.
Those factors have all contributed to a creeping shift of
purchases toward the fancy. So too has a lack of discounts on many electronics
and cars, again because manufacturers are reluctant to gin up sales when they
can’t keep all their products in stock.
My New York Times colleague Neal Boudette said that car
companies and dealers have been able to charge full sticker price or thousands
of dollars more. Automakers are fine with this, even though they can’t keep up
with demand. “Automakers are making huge profits even though they’re selling
fewer vehicles than they ordinarily would,” he told me.
It’s possible that the pandemic-related oddities will eventually
end and we’ll once again have the full spectrum of prices, from budget to high
end. Or maybe not. Companies that got hooked on higher profits from pricier
products might be unwilling to give that up. And it’s not clear that shipping
parts and products around the world will rebound to a 2019 level.
Baker also said that electronics manufacturers were planning to
experiment to see if our inclination for higher-priced electronics might stick.
Baker predicted that companies that sold a basic Windows laptop for $300 or
$350 a couple of years ago will try nudging up entry-level models to $550 or
$600, and manufacturers might try cutting back on $499 large-screen TVs to see
if a $599 television might sell nearly as well.
“There is a lot of hunting and pecking that is going to happen
in the next couple of years to try to understand what is happening,” Baker
said.
All that suggests that pricier cars and electronics could be
here to stay.
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