AMMAN — A new poll gauging popular opinion in the
West Bank shows support for a two-state solution remains in the minority, according
to the Washington Institute which conducted the survey and released its results
on June 30. The poll was conducted ahead of
US President Joe Biden’s visit to
the West Bank later this month and an analysis of the results published on the
think tank’s website.
اضافة اعلان
A reversal in
attitudes towards the five-year Palestinian national priority is evident
compared to 2020. Opinion has moved away from a large majority support for
“regaining historical
Palestine, from the river to the sea,” dropping sharply
from 66 percent in 2020 to just 37 percent.
Some of this
shift reflects the quarter of respondents who now prefer a two-state solution.
However, responses also demonstrate an unexpected and growing preference for
alternative outcomes. “Moving towards shared rule with Jordan or Egypt,
including Palestinian self-government” garnered 18 percent support. In last
place, is “achieving a one-state solution, in which Jews and Arabs would have
equal rights”, with just 16 percent support.
Frustration with
the
Palestinian Authority’s (PA) governance in the West Bank remains high.”
Recent Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research polling confirms the
majority view that Hamas and the PA are corrupt. Even so, only a minority say
that they support mass protests against corruption “as seen in other Arab
countries”.
A solid
majority, 63 percent, of West Bankers concur that Palestinians should “push
harder” to replace current Palestinian political leadership with “more
effective and less corrupt” options. A similar number, 65 percent, support the
assertion that “Hamas and the PA should allow free and fair Palestinian
elections.”
Looking much
further ahead, when asked how the conflict will ultimately end, half of West
Bankers continue to believe that “eventually, Palestinians will control almost
all of Palestine, because God is on their side.” But this represents a 13
percentage point decrease from 2020, and parallels an 11 point increase in
those who believe that Israel and the Palestinians will reach a “political
compromise, to divide the land and live side by side”.
More West
Bankers, 44 percent, now also believe that Israelis would indeed accept a
two-state solution for permanent peace, a 12 point increase from 2020.
About 61 percent
of West Bankers agree to varying degrees with the proposal that Palestinians
should move to a new intifada. And despite repeated
Israeli military operations
in Jenin in the past few months, opinion is now split as to whether “the PA
should stop security coordination with Israel, no matter what happens.”
Asked whether
“Palestinians should focus on practical matters like jobs (and) healthcare ...
not on big political plans or resistance options,” 59 percent of West Bankers
now agree. There is also a growing minority interest in Israeli involvement.
Today, 25 percent of West Bankers would now choose to be a “citizen of Israel”
were there an agreement for a two-state solution, up from 9 percent in 2020.
Interest in Israeli companies offering jobs in the West Bank and
Gaza has also
increased over the past two years, from 11 percent to 28 percent.
Longer-term
trends highlight that current views represent an overall loss of optimism and
willingness to compromise, compared with five years ago.
Regarding
external actors to the conflicts, attitudes towards the US have improved since
the Trump era, while remaining skeptical. Back in 2020, a large plurality (45
percent) wanted the US to “stay out of Palestinian and Middle East affairs
altogether”. Now, only 13 percent express the same view. Instead, 35 percent
are most interested in the US “pressuring Israel to make concessions”. A
further 24 percent are most keen for US pressure on the PA and Hamas to be
“more democratic and less corrupt”, while 10 percent prioritize getting
Arab states more involved in solving the Palestinian problem. Still, the overall view of the Biden
administration’s approach to the conflict is narrowly, at 57 percent, negative
so far.
Meanwhile, 69
percent now believe that Palestinians should concentrate on getting different
international mediators “such as Russia, Europe, and the UN” involved in the
conflict, an almost 20 percent increase from prior years.
The
Abraham Accords are not popular in the West Bank — only a quarter see them in even a
somewhat positive light.
Remarkably, 67 percent
of West Bankers believe that Jordan should play a major role in the future of
Jerusalem. A significant 25 point jump from 2020, this percentage is now on par
with support for major involvement of the PA, at 65 percent, and more than
Hamas at 61 percent. In contrast, support for a major role for the PA or Hamas
has actually declined by about 20 percentage points since 2020.
Read more Region and World
Jordan News