The Middle East has entered a stage of
"strategic uncertainty," with Washington persisting in supporting the
Israeli occupation in its operations under the pretext of "
eliminating Hamas" in Gaza.
اضافة اعلان
Experts estimate that the developments in the region cannot
be predicted, and their trajectories cannot be defined, especially with the
possibility of the war expanding at any time if the
conflict in Gaza continues.
According to experts, Washington aims to achieve strategic
objectives related to its presence in the region, following a previous
withdrawal. It seeks to reassert its dominance by supporting the Israeli
occupation.
Nuclear Threats:Israeli Minister of Heritage, Amechay Elyaou, from the
extreme "Jewish Home" party, stated that one of Israel's options in
the war in Gaza is to drop a nuclear bomb on the region.
The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute reports
that Israel has had a non-transparent nuclear policy for an extended period, as
it neither acknowledges being a nuclear state nor denies it officially.
According to estimates by the
American Association of Atomic Scientists in 2023, the Israeli occupation is classified as one of the nine
nuclear-armed states and possesses around 90 nuclear bombs.
Complex Scenarios:
The Moroccan strategic expert, El-Sharkawy Al-Roudani,
mentioned that things are moving towards complexity, and all indications show
that the entire region has entered a stage of strategic uncertainty.
He further added in his discussion with "Sputnik"
that the official American and Western stance indicates a new strategy under
execution through the "New Middle East Policy." This strategy will
introduce changes in the balance of power that differ from what existed
previously.
He pointed out that the rules of engagement in this war
differ in their determinants among the involved parties, and the regional
balances will be subject to fluctuations.
War Scenarios:Several scenarios have emerged due to ongoing developments.
Al-Roudani indicates that the entry of the "Quds Force" is a certain
matter, along with the movement of the "Badr Organization" in Iraq
and other factions. They are targeting Western and American assets in the region,
particularly the "Ain Al-Asad" and "Harir" bases, by what
Iran refers to as the axis of "Islamic Resistance."
Al-Roudani concludes that the current situation may alter
the security landscape in the region, especially in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and
Yemen.
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