All is not quiet on Jordan’s northern front

army jaf border
(File photo: Jordan News)
army jaf border

Osama Al Sharif

Osama Al Sharif is a journalist and political commentator based in Amman.

Jordan is facing an unusual threat and some pundits have called it “a full-fledged and open war.” In this month alone the Jordanian Armed Forces have thwarted a number of narcotics smuggling operations coming from Syria, at least two of which used drones. And it is not drugs alone that Jordan is fighting to stop, but an alignment between drug cartels in Syria and terrorist organizations that could use the financial windfall to finance operations not only against the Kingdom but beyond.اضافة اعلان

Jordan's mounting frustration with the Syrian regime's inability to curtail what is termed an "organized" smuggling network has intensified. This sprawling network stretches from Lebanon to southern Syria and has earned Syria the moniker of a significant narco-state. At its core is a multi-billion-dollar drug smuggling operation, primarily dealing in the synthetic addictive stimulant known as Captagon, colloquially referred to as the "poor man's cocaine." These pills, priced at approximately $3 each, are produced in labs located in southern Syria. Their distribution extends through Jordan, the GCC states, and even into Europe. 

Border soldiers given a free hand in dealing with smugglers
The Jordanian army altered its rules of engagement two years ago to give its border soldiers a free hand in dealing with smugglers. In January 2022, it killed 27 smugglers trying to cross the 375kilometer-border with Syria. Last May, the Jordanian air force is said to have carried out a raid hitting an Iran-linked drugs factory and killing a smuggler allegedly behind big hauls across the two countries' border. However, Jordan never acknowledged the raid officially.

Assad never offered a response
This issue has now evolved into a pressing security dilemma for Jordan. When Jordan reestablished its land borders with Syria following the recapture of the Daraa border crossing by Syrian government forces in 2018, there was an expectation that the drug smuggling operations could be addressed through dialogue with Damascus. Efforts were made, including high-level discussions with President Bashar Assad. Jordan also played a pivotal role in encouraging others to normalize relations with the regime, culminating in Assad's participation at the Arab Summit in Jeddah last May. Jordan, together with Saudi Arabia and other nations, advocated for a political resolution to the Syrian crisis.  Assad never offered a response. 
The relationship between the Syrian regime and the drug smuggling cartel has always been in question. Facing biting Western sanctions, the regime is believed to have allowed, and benefitted from, drug networks to function freely for economic and political reasons. Jordan had expressed its reservations about the complicity of Syrian officers in the smuggling operations. The concerns, again, were never addressed.
A relationship that has always been in question
The relationship between the Syrian regime and the drug smuggling cartel has always been in question. Facing biting Western sanctions, the regime is believed to have allowed, and benefitted from, drug networks to function freely for economic and political reasons. Jordan had expressed its reservations about the complicity of Syrian officers in the smuggling operations. The concerns, again, were never addressed.

Fears of terrorist networks
Now, there are fears that terrorist networks, including Daesh, are regrouping in southern Syria and may benefit financially from drug smuggling operations. Katrina Sammour, a Jordanian security analyst, wrote in her blog this week that the resurgence of Daesh’s Wilayat Houran (the name of the South Syria branch of Daesh) has been quietly unfolding in the south of Syria. Since the beginning of 2022, this extremist group has been methodically enhancing its presence, particularly in areas surrounding Daraa, Badiyat As-Suwaida, and Syrian Badia. She adds that while there is no evidence connecting Wilayet Houran to any drug trafficking in the south, which is primarily monopolized by Iran-backed groups and armed forces tied to the Assad regime. There is also not evidence so far of outside funding.

Experts are calling it
Sammour said that the possibility of fighters crossing the border and launching attacks within Jordan drives constant attention and resources from the Kingdom. This adds additional danger to the border which is already facing an onslaught of Captagon and Crystal meth smuggling in goods, armed attempts, and even drones.  While no evidence shows a tie to drug smuggling, how long until attempted weapons smuggling or trafficking of fighters becomes an issue?

Meanwhile, two prominent Jordanian newspaper columnists have hinted at the need to give the Jordanian military a free hand. Writing in Al-Ghad daily, Maher Abu Tair, said that Jordan is “angry with Damascus” because the latter has done nothing to address Jordanian concerns. He talked about how Jordan has, so far, avoided creating a buffer zone in southern Syria, similar to the Turkish buffer zone in the north, because it was hoping that the Syrian government would take action.

Tair said that this is a security file that has to be taken away from politicians, but added that a buffer zone cannot be implemented without regional and American participation.  

On the same day, Malek Athamneh, a Jordanian commentator also writing in Al-Ghad, said that this was an “open war’ and blamed Jordanian diplomacy for avoiding embarrassment in dealing with Syria. He referred to US plans to back Jordan in its war against drugs coming from Syria and blamed Damascus for not honoring its promises.
So where does Jordan go from here? Imposing a buffer zone inside Syria will serve two main immediate objectives: Stem the drug smuggling and cripple terrorist organizations from coming close to Jordanian borders. But such an operation requires international backing and will be costly to maintain. It will not be welcomed by the Syrian regime, which as of yet has to choose between backing the drug ring and normalizing ties with Jordan and the rest of the Arab countries.
Both were probably referring to statements made by US chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. Mark Milley, who told a Jordanian news channel that drug smuggling is a very dangerous matter, especially if it is linked to terrorism, as many terrorist organizations are linked in one way or another to drug trafficking gangs.

So where does Jordan go from here?
So where does Jordan go from here? Imposing a buffer zone inside Syria will serve two main immediate objectives: Stem the drug smuggling and cripple terrorist organizations from coming close to Jordanian borders. But such an operation requires international backing and will be costly to maintain. It will not be welcomed by the Syrian regime, which as of yet has to choose between backing the drug ring and normalizing ties with Jordan and the rest of the Arab countries.

But it is important to note that Jordan is mainly a transit county for drugs coming from Syria. GCC countries are a destination as well as Europe.

The smuggling network has to be crushed and so do the labs scattered in southern Syria. Whatever Jordan chooses to do must be supported by regional countries as well as the US. Cutting any funding to terrorist groups is as important.


Osama Al Sharif is a journalist and political commentator based in Amman.


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