Israel’s war on Gaza spurs shifts in Israeli politics and regional dynamics

gaza
(Photo: Twitter/X)
After nearly three months of Israel's war on Gaza, the occupation forces boasting about victory and the crushing of the Palestinian resistance group, Hamas, a tone of pessimism and discord now dominates Israeli political discourse. This shift comes in response to the failure to decisively end the aggression and the inability to achieve any strategic goals in the ongoing aggression against the Palestinian people, particularly in the Gaza Strip, except for unprecedented atrocities in contemporary history.اضافة اعلان

With a comprehensive view of the situation, it is apparent that the "achievement of victory" serves the Zionist colonial vision and aligns with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government's rapid efforts to implement its primary political goal. This goal is part of the American-Israeli purification efforts in the Middle East, encompassing political and economic aspects. It is also connected to eliminating currents and forces that oppose and stand against the Western world in implementing its plans in the region.

This operation can be described as a "Contra-2," following the first "Contra" operation executed by the United States, in collaboration with Israel, in Latin America against progressive and leftist forces resistant to US dominance over the continent decades ago.

Over the past two decades, discussions have revolved around statements reflecting the US vision to reshape our region, proposing new maps, population transfers, and demographic changes for altered geopolitical boundaries. The current deep and direct American involvement extends prior engagement in the region, suggesting that the ongoing genocide is not an isolated incident.

Instead, it is part of a broader strategy aligned with the US and NATO's "organized chaos" theory, aiming at the concept of the "New Middle East." This vision, experienced through events like the "Arab Spring" and the "Abraham Accords," seeks to prevent challenges to Western dominance, with Israel playing a leading role. It also fosters renewed competition and challenges from emerging powers, notably China and Russia, striving to reshape the international world order into a more just and less hegemonic system. These efforts encapsulate the resurgence of colonial Western ideas to serve their interests.
Instead, it is part of a broader strategy aligned with the US and NATO's "organized chaos" theory, aiming at the concept of the "New Middle East." This vision, experienced through events like the "Arab Spring" and the "Abraham Accords," seeks to prevent challenges to Western dominance, with Israel playing a leading role. It also fosters renewed competition and challenges from emerging powers, notably China and Russia, striving to reshape the international world order into a more just and less hegemonic system. These efforts encapsulate the resurgence of colonial Western ideas to serve their interests.
For decades, successive US administrations and its deep state have regarded the Middle East as a center of conflict and instability. They perceive the region as necessitating American presence to safeguard interests in oil and gas flow, economic dominance, and the superiority of Israel – "the occupying state" – to uphold its colonial, political, and security functions. Consequently, they focused on managing rather than resolving conflicts and thwarting the establishment of a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital, following the international option for a two-state solution on pre-June 4, 1967 borders.

However, the current US discourse lacks details or boundaries, presenting a new mirage added to their traditional policies. This shift comes as the two-state solution, once considered a plausible option, approaches an unattainable utopia on the ground. The expansion of colonial settlements and annexation persists, despite growing opposition in the U.S. public opinion to their administration's policies. These policies aim to hinder the realization of the right to self-determination for our people on their land, confining it to the Jewish people in Israel.

Within the broader framework of this concept, Israel finds an opportunity to expedite its plans. The Zionist National Religious coalition government, known as the "Early Resolution" plan, based on the Torah-inspired vision of Joshua Ben Nun, diverts public attention from internal divisions. These divisions began at the start of the current year with a judicial coup, seen by many as a threat to "Jewish democracy," causing concerns among international allies and creating divisions in Israeli society.

The supposed regional adjustment, resulting from the genocide and comprehensive destruction of Gaza, along with events in the West Bank and Jerusalem, leading to forced or voluntary displacement, is closely tied to broader American projects like the "Indo-Pacific Corridor." This initiative, part of Biden's plan to enhance economic integration between Asia and the Arabian Gulf through the port of Haifa to Europe, is also related to the "Ben Gurion Canal" project as an alternative to the Suez Canal. Additionally, ambitions involve the gas field in Palestinian waters off the coast of Gaza, settling the gas field issue off the Lebanese coast, and attempting to reduce the risks of a non-Jewish majority between the sea and the river in historical Palestine to serve the vision of a Jewish state and its racial purity.

Therefore, their insistence, in partnership with the US, on continuing the crime of aggression and the genocidal war by rejecting ceasefire initiatives and providing all necessary means of war and unprecedented destruction, reflects their desire for Gaza to be the beginning of more future wars and expansions in the region to serve their goals. They are attempting to implement this strategy on the Lebanese borders, inside Syria, and in the Bab el-Mandeb strait. This necessitates the continued subjugation of forces and countries in the region to US policies through persuasion and threats.

Initiatives are launched here and there to deal with the genocidal war, preserving their face after the unprecedented cost of their aggression and occupation in terms of lives, economic, and financial aspects, which exacerbate internal conditions in the occupying state. This leads to increased disputes on security and political levels, as well as within their local and global Jewish community. Now, there is growing questioning of the feasibility of their war and the increasing daily losses without achieving their declared goals. Netanyahu's responsibility is also emphasized, especially since he realizes that progressing in a prisoner exchange deal or ending the war may jeopardize his alliance or lead to the end of his political life, possibly facing legal accountability along with others in the security and military leadership.

However, there is a vast difference between what the Israeli plan desires and what it can achieve. Historical experience shows cases where Palestinian resilience and resistance have thwarted many Israeli plans, including displacement projects. Regarding our side, I believe, like many others, that the official Palestinian stance should have been different, more clearly commensurate with the scale of suffering and the recurring crime, its forms of resistance, and confrontation. It should have been linked to the reality of escalating international solidarity and the exposure of the true image of the occupying state. It should have built on that by implementing all the resolutions of the National and Central Councils of the PLO, especially after the occupying state declared itself free from previous agreements, specifically Oslo.

Additionally, given the rapid international changes, including those related to international and local public opinion in our homeland, as highlighted in recent polls, and the necessity for understanding the pulse of the street, factors for the success of any plan cannot be achieved without attention to them.

Hence, there is an urgent need to present a vision and mechanisms related to the mentioned facts and the way out of what we have reached due to the absence of review and critical evaluation, or the absence of the content and mechanisms of the stage of national liberation in the last decade and the absence of the right and duty of our people to participate in legislative and presidential elections for seventeen years. There is also the absence of actual elections for the institutions of the PLO.

Now there is a great opportunity to activate our political system to serve our national interests and address the issues facing our people, especially in the face of existing challenges. I believe this opportunity has become possible without the need for stereotypical dialogue sessions that did not lead to the end of the division. Instead, it is a result of existing challenges and the sacrifices of our great people. All parties, including external forces within the PLO, realize the importance of independent decision-making, a national compass, and unity based on a resistant political program. This program aims to complete the stage of liberation from the colonial occupation that occurred in 1967 and rejects all its projects.
I believe, like many others, that the official Palestinian stance should have been different, more clearly commensurate with the scale of suffering and the recurring crime, its forms of resistance, and confrontation. It should have been linked to the reality of escalating international solidarity and the exposure of the true image of the occupying state. It should have built on that by implementing all the resolutions of the National and Central Councils of the PLO, especially after the occupying state declared itself free from previous agreements, specifically Oslo.
This is particularly important after statements from Hamas leaders, which I believe should be viewed today with new eyes that do not rely on their previous positions, despite extensive past disagreements. Recent statements from resistance organizations in Gaza regarding their view of the dangers of the political stage and their understanding of the legitimacy of international law and resolutions, in addition to their newly declared understanding of the role of the national authority, should be taken seriously. They view it as a gateway to an independent, sovereign, and democratic state with its capital in Jerusalem, announced by Hamas, stating that it will be discussed in Egypt in the proposed initiative.

This position is also within the framework of this changed understanding of the upcoming stage, which must be immediately built upon by expanding the membership of the PLO now to include all Palestinians, encompassing all groups outside the PLO, national independents, civil society, and youth. The PLO should activate its required role to form a consensus base representing a comprehensive national vision as a purely Palestinian initiative. This initiative should be based on political, geographical, and historical unity for all the lands of the occupied State of Palestine, rejecting the plans of the so-called "the next day for Gaza."

The focus should be on supporting the resistance in all forms and confronting the political projects of the Israeli occupation and the US. It aims to continue adhering to international legitimacy by declaring the State of Palestine as recognized by an observer in the UNGA in 2012 as a state under occupation. The goal is to stop the aggression and protect our people, paving the way for a political horizon through an international umbrella with a leading role for the EU, Russia, China, and other related states. This process should lead to implementing non-negotiable principal issues such as the right to self-determination and national independence according to international law and resolutions. Additionally, it involves objecting to American interference in various Palestinian affairs. The PLO should be a unified house and a title for national democratic liberation toward ending the occupation.

Any accumulation of ongoing quantitative variables will eventually lead to qualitative political transformations, possibly resulting in a change in the political positions of parties in the international community. Thus, we, the Palestinians, are contributing to the acceleration of ongoing transformative events in the world’s international order and the mindset of the peoples of the region, including ourselves. This contributes to the pursuit of a just peace among peoples, based on equality and the exercise of inalienable national rights.


Marwan is the former ambassador of Palestine to Athens with an MSc in political science and, a BA in economics. He served as the ambassador to Greece from 2013 to 2021, governor from 2009 to 2012, and served as the deputy minister of tourism from 2004 to 2009.


Disclaimer: 
Views expressed by writers in this section are their own and do not necessarily reflect Jordan News' point of view.



Read more Opinion and Analysis
Jordan News