Who is our Palestinian ally?

Taking an in-depth look at the Palestinian political demarkations reveals that they are separated by manmade barriers. While Jerusalem’s holiest shrines are under vehement daily attacks, and in the midst of Netenyahu’s attempt to legalize the splinter colonies in the occupied territories, the Palestinian factions continue at their anathematic cockfights.اضافة اعلان

As revealed by the Palestinians and reported by the media outlets, Fateh has been split into four groups seeking to score high in the supposedly upcoming legislative elections. On the other side, Hamas is watching attentively to see where the wind blows. 

If elections take place, the most likely Fatah group to win is Marwan Barghouthi’s who is fighting from his jail cell. Mohammad Dahlan who is backed by the UAE as claimed, has a much lower chance of winning big. As does Nasser Qudwah who is supposedly backed by Saudi Arabia.

President Mahmoud Abbas, who abided by Biden’s advice or condition to carry on with elections, is having unannounced second thoughts to postpone, remotely sensing that the US administration may be having a change of heart in light of possible Hamas and Barghouthi wins.

So, we can assume that the elections could be postponed, and it is probably the more rational option. Hamas is in the midst of indirect prisoner-exchange negotiations with the Israelis. Should this exchange materialize and should cameras capture happy folks returning home to their loved ones, more issues pending between Hamas and the Israeli government could be ironed out as well.

Where does Jordan stand on all these issues: elections or no elections, who is a reliable ally to us, and how to deal with Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan?

It goes without saying that the coming summer and fall seasons will be of crucial importance. By then we could have a new Israeli government. If Netanyahu returned triumphant, he would be there for at least a year and a half. He may be followed by Naftali Bennet. Both are bad news for the peace camp, and their attitudes are irreversible. Should a new Israeli government emerge, the US Administration will move on with its peace efforts.

Now that the US Administration is pushing hard with the nuclear deal with Iran where differences are reduced to scheduling modes, Saudi Arabia is engaged in a secret intelligence negations with Iran. Iraq, Syria, Libya, and hopefully Yemen are on track to peace in order to restore their normalcy. The Palestinian Territories would logically follow in line.     

The resolution en-masse of all strifes in our unlucky region necessitates the taming of all spoilers. It could be a messy and a tricky situation. President Abbas stands to be our most likely ally. Hamas has a great deal to benefit from being friendly with Jordan. 

The dynamic of the situation in this region of ours is rapidly changing; we should move.

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